Elastic-Vernacular
0x4d91da657520b7929a2c892279f221407ccc91e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$155.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15?
9602 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-190.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 12?
3440 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-564.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 9?
2900 shares @ 30.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-875.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 7?
2800 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-139.99
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 5?
2200 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-55.78
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 13?
2200 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-231.39
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 14?
2000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 10?
1840 shares @ 20.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-372.80
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 10?
1689 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-17.82
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 24?
500 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-14.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 15?$1.90Jan 15, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 15?$58.31Jan 15, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 15?$130.00Jan 15, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 14?$22.00Jan 14, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 13?$8.47Jan 13, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 13?$0.51Jan 13, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 13?$0.50Jan 13, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 13?$0.01Jan 13, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 13?$0.51Jan 13, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 13?$54.00Jan 13, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 13?$65.51Jan 13, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 13?$0.32Jan 13, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 13?$3.77Jan 13, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 13?$2.40Jan 13, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 13?$64.00Jan 13, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 13?$31.40Jan 13, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 12?$10.00Jan 12, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 12?$15.96Jan 12, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 12?$12.00Jan 12, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on January 12?$700.00Jan 12, 15:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $73.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 15:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 16:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.