Both-Thesis
0x4d93aac4a317e8d4b4eccee02e10731edb53397b
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$1.89
Total PnL
$-210.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$1.89
$0.91
- YES
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?
2002 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.99
- YES
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out in 2025?
183 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
10 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
6 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$1.00Feb 26, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$1.00Feb 26, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$1.00Feb 26, 17:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$5.33Feb 26, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$2.00Feb 26, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$2.00Feb 26, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$4.00Feb 26, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$2.00Feb 26, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?$99.00Oct 26, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out in 2025?$1.00Oct 26, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?$40.12Oct 26, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?$18.53Oct 26, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?$30.00Oct 26, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?$13.34Oct 25, 14:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $16.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 25, 14:57 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 26, 17:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.