Urban-Packaging
0x4d94d1aebcd31c10788db6c48f80a85bab1f4ec1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-783.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: October
1029 shares @ 41.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-430.64
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
231 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-136.43
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
219 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-116.27
- NO
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?
130 shares @ 76.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$116.27Feb 18, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$116.28Feb 18, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by November 15?$136.43Nov 8, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$136.43Nov 8, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: October$430.64Oct 1, 18:46 UTC
- REDEEMAbdul-Malik out as leader of Houthis by September 30?$111.11Oct 1, 18:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?$128.13Oct 1, 18:37 UTC
- REDEEMTikTok sale announced by September 30?$135.44Oct 1, 18:37 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: September$55.32Oct 1, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok sale announced by September 30?$107.00Sep 16, 16:54 UTC
- REDEEMGreen Party (MDG) wins 4% or more of vote in Norwegian election?$106.68Sep 16, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$0.00Sep 10, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: September$42.60Sep 8, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?$100.00Sep 7, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strike on Yemen by September 5?$143.06Sep 6, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYGreen Party (MDG) wins 4% or more of vote in Norwegian election?$93.00Sep 2, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?$100.00Sep 2, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYAbdul-Malik out as leader of Houthis by September 30?$100.00Sep 2, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by September 5?$100.00Sep 1, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMMegaquake by August 31?$107.53Sep 1, 18:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $109.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 10:27 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 18, 13:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.