Fumbling-Preoccupation
0x4d9ad0b6e50cc664021ac5ac9f0bfe1343a29781
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$1.02
Total PnL
$-87.69
Realised
$0.28
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
GTA VI released before June 2026?
1 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will XRP reach $2.40 January 12-18?
822 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.10 on January 31?
357 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.30 on January 31?
261 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.30 and $2.40 on January 20?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.10 on January 29?
57 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on January 26?
33 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Trump attend UFC 324?
30 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on January 29?
27 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of February?
24 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGTA VI released before June 2026?$1.00Mar 12, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$1.48Mar 12, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$1.00Mar 12, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?$5.00Feb 1, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of February?$3.00Feb 1, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $2.30 on January 31?$2.00Jan 28, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $2.10 on January 31?$25.00Jan 28, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $2.10 on January 29?$2.00Jan 28, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on January 29?$3.00Jan 28, 03:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?$63.11Jan 26, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$3.00Jan 26, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.90 on January 26?$6.00Jan 26, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of XRP be above $1.90 on January 26?$8.78Jan 26, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$4.00Jan 26, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.90 on January 26?$6.00Jan 26, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$10.28Jan 26, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$10.00Jan 26, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $2.20 on January 23?$0.00Jan 26, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump attend UFC 324?$7.00Jan 19, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $2.20 on January 23?$15.00Jan 19, 02:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $10.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 02:49 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 12, 21:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".