Costly-Shoestring
0x4d9c11dda9ffb55f4843b35421741cb96fb2995b
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$143.60
Total PnL
$-105.39
Realised
$-101.71
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
140 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$140.24
$1.96
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.18
$0.18
- NO
Will Amazon purchase Bitcoin before July?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Trudeau out in 2025?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Biden pardon SBF?
24 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Everton win on 2024-12-07?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Alex Ovechkin break the scoring record this season?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Kraken IPO in 2025?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?$1.00Dec 31, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon purchase Bitcoin before July?$1.00Dec 31, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Gaza in 2025?$1.00Dec 31, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Ovechkin break the scoring record this season?$1.00Dec 31, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton win on 2024-12-07?$1.00Dec 31, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$25.4KDec 31, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$20.0KDec 31, 21:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$34.5KDec 31, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$40.0KDec 31, 21:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$40.4KDec 31, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$40.5KDec 31, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrudeau out in 2025?$1.00Dec 31, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO in 2025?$1.00Dec 31, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden pardon SBF?$1.00Dec 31, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on June 30?$1.00Dec 31, 21:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $13.4K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 31, 21:30 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 31, 21:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.