Plain-Evaporation
0x4d9c9f41454daae76cba5a4d8c25d2d5eabc684d
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
148
Open notional
$45.00
Total PnL
$-283.93
Realised
$-2.19
Win rate
43%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 148- YES
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?
5 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$5.00
$3.05
- NO
Will Paris FC win on 2026-01-04?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$5.00
$0.30
- OVER
Cowboys vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5
5 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$5.00
$2.00
- UNDER
Texans vs. Chargers: O/U 39.5
5 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$5.00
$2.45
- EAGLES
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
5 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$5.00
$1.95
- NO
Will Morocco win on 2025-12-26?
5 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$5.00
$3.20
- FALCONS
Spread: Rams (-8.5)
5 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$5.00
$2.30
- UNDER
West Ham United FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$5.00
$4.00
- YES
Will En Avant Guingamp win on 2026-01-03?
5 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$5.00
$2.10
- TEAM FALCONS
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner
1005 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.75
Recent activity
- REDEEMNets vs. 76ers: O/U 219.5$5.00Dec 24, 20:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Senegal vs. Botswana end in a draw?$5.00Dec 24, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLGames Total: O/U 2.5$0.30Dec 23, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2025-12-26?$1.80Dec 23, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYNets vs. 76ers: O/U 219.5$2.45Dec 23, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexans vs. Chargers: O/U 40.5$2.30Dec 23, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: 49ers (-3.5)$2.65Dec 23, 11:04 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winner$3.15Dec 23, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winner$3.20Dec 23, 10:59 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winner$3.20Dec 23, 10:57 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)$2.30Dec 23, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)$2.70Dec 23, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winner$2.00Dec 23, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?$1.95Dec 23, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)$1.85Dec 23, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winner$2.15Dec 23, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winner$0.99Dec 23, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$2.75Dec 23, 10:45 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Nuggets (-12.5)$5.00Dec 23, 10:39 UTC
- REDEEMPacers vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5$5.00Dec 23, 10:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $2.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 23, 02:31 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 24, 20:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".