Fond-Speed
0x4d9cb5c0eb608c11049683ddc853179558555147
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$11.14
Total PnL
$-79.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?
2 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.99
$0.46
- NO
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.73
$0.00
- NO
Will Z.ai have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.65
$0.01
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?
2 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.63
$0.03
- NO
Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.50
$0.00
- NO
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.37
$0.01
- NO
Will xAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.28
$0.01
- YES
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
300 shares @ 26.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-78.30
- YES
Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?
7 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?$1.27Dec 28, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?$1.36Dec 28, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?$1.60Dec 28, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.73Dec 28, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.64Dec 28, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.50Dec 28, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.54Dec 28, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.53Dec 28, 23:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the best AI model on October 31?$1.13Dec 11, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the most valuable company on October 31?$1.20Dec 11, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31?$1.24Dec 11, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the best AI model on October 31?$1.24Dec 11, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?$1.59Dec 11, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the most valuable company on October 31?$2.13Dec 11, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model on October 31?$2.17Dec 11, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$78.30Nov 25, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the most valuable company on October 31?$1.20Oct 22, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the most valuable company on October 31?$2.10Oct 22, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?$1.56Oct 22, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31?$1.23Oct 22, 15:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $4.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 14:45 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 28, 23:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".