Knowing-Ficlet
0x4d9cf3551d6224ff27573674cf62e96d3ba95e32
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-39.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Brevis FDV above $400M one day after launch?
279 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-18.00
- NO
ETHGAS FDV above $100M one day after launch?
40 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-5.98
- YES
Brevis FDV above $500M one day after launch?
33 shares @ 30.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Keir Starmer say "Budget" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Keir Starmer say "Reform" 4+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Keir Starmer say "Russia" or Russian" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Keir Starmer say "Mr Speaker" 25+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- THUNDER
Spurs vs. Thunder
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- LIONS
Lions vs. Vikings
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLPuffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?$12.52Feb 18, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYPuffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?$15.00Feb 6, 06:58 UTC
- TRADESELLPuffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?$15.85Feb 6, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYPuffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?$11.32Feb 5, 17:55 UTC
- TRADESELLRainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch?$11.32Feb 5, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYRainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch?$41.72Feb 5, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLAztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?$41.72Feb 5, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYAztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?$49.30Feb 3, 16:32 UTC
- TRADESELLPuffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?$17.14Feb 3, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLPuffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?$4.57Feb 3, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLPuffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?$27.59Feb 3, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYPuffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?$8.31Jan 22, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYPuffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?$20.00Jan 22, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYPuffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?$20.00Jan 22, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYETHGAS FDV above $100M one day after launch?$5.98Jan 21, 13:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by Jan 31?$0.97Jan 18, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYPuffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?$5.80Jan 18, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLPuffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?$1.85Jan 18, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLPuffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?$3.10Jan 18, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYPuffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?$4.00Jan 18, 19:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $7.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 17, 08:12 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 18, 15:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".