Mysterious-Plowman
0x4d9d7f303dde919abc0bd299bbb3b2ef9e29eabf
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$69.18
Total PnL
$-11.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.58
$0.06
- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.39
$0.23
- NO
Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?
4 shares @ 96.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.38
$0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 86°F or higher on June 13?
4 shares @ 97.4¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$4.33
$0.10
- NO
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
4 shares @ 98.9¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$4.33
$-0.03
- NO
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 92.5¢·now 99.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.32
$0.29
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on June 13?
4 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$4.29
$0.17
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 13?
4 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$4.27
$0.25
- NO
Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
4 shares @ 98.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$4.26
$-0.02
- UNDER
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5
4 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$4.24
$0.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$4.36Jun 13, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$4.29Jun 13, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 86°F or higher on June 13?$4.24Jun 13, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on June 13?$4.13Jun 13, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 13?$4.04Jun 13, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5$4.03Jun 13, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$3.69Jun 13, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lindsey Graham win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate Primary by 40–50%?$4.42Jun 13, 21:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rom Reddy win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$4.74Jun 11, 21:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 10?$0.00Jun 11, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 10?$4.11Jun 11, 19:00 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Bolivia 1 - 2 Algeria?$4.02Jun 11, 05:14 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Bolivia 1 - 1 Algeria?$4.06Jun 11, 05:14 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Bolivia 0 - 3 Algeria?$4.06Jun 11, 05:14 UTC
- REDEEMBolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 5.5$4.11Jun 11, 05:14 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Costa Rica: O/U 4.5$4.15Jun 11, 05:14 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Bolivia 0 - 0 Algeria?$4.21Jun 11, 05:14 UTC
- REDEEMBolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5$4.24Jun 11, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5$4.08Jun 10, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Bolivia 0 - 0 Algeria?$4.02Jun 10, 22:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $4.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 14:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 21:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.