Sleepy-Snob
0x4d9e53f1aac4b0a526ec1c20abf7e210d221e3c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$233.13
Total PnL
$-147.77
Realised
$31.14
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
2027 shares @ 16.8¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$233.13
$-106.87
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 31?
263 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?
169 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
135 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on January 21?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
72 shares @ 18.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.09
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 3?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 2?
51 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 10?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 8?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$340.00May 31, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$341.22May 31, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$120.00May 25, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$119.00May 25, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$239.37May 25, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$242.00May 25, 03:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$241.92May 25, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$100.00May 24, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$90.00May 24, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$189.48May 24, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$150.00May 24, 03:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$45.00May 24, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$30.00May 23, 23:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$135.09May 23, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$137.00May 22, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?$136.97May 22, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?$128.00May 22, 13:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$127.85May 22, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$116.00May 21, 10:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$113.23May 21, 06:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $102.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 10:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 22:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".