Pesky-Beard
0x4da08bcfd834da7f00b57f4985d50acd354cac07
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-95.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
103 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
51 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-25.90
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 17?
33 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 60% and 100% on November 12?
27 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8PM ET
24 shares @ 42.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 15?
20 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
James Comey arrested by October 31?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - October 8, 3PM ET
17 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 8, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$25.90Jan 29, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$5.00Dec 7, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?$10.31Dec 7, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 2-8?$19.86Dec 7, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 2-8?$12.00Dec 1, 22:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?$12.50Dec 1, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 17?$11.00Oct 12, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US military action against Iran before 2026?$1.00Oct 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$1.00Oct 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?$1.00Oct 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?$1.00Oct 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% in 2025?$1.00Oct 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?$1.00Oct 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill House and Senate pass funding bill by October 15?$1.00Oct 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?$1.00Oct 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$4.00Oct 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2025?$1.00Oct 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?$1.00Oct 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?$1.00Oct 12, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 60% and 100% on November 12?$1.00Oct 12, 00:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $4.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 8, 21:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 29, 06:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.