Talkative-Filly
0x4da61b512bf50597ba9d9782c762ce947829e999
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$886.03
Total PnL
$-393.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?
1982 shares @ 25.2¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$386.56
$-113.44
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
368 shares @ 68.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$244.49
$-5.51
- YES
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?
1271 shares @ 19.7¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$108.07
$-141.93
- YES
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?
117 shares @ 85.7¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$50.77
$-49.23
- NO
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
840 shares @ 5.9¢·now 5.9¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$49.59
$-0.41
- YES
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
51 shares @ 57.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.59
$0.26
- YES
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?
333 shares @ 15.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$16.97
$-33.03
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
50000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$51.41Jun 1, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?$100.00Jun 1, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$250.00Jun 1, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?$400.00Jun 1, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?$250.00Jun 1, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?$100.00Jun 1, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$303.86Jun 1, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$140.38Jun 1, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?$106.50Jun 1, 16:54 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$783.71Jun 1, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$783.71Jun 1, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$29.83May 31, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?$29.69May 31, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$290.00May 30, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$100.00May 30, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?$50.00May 30, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?$100.00May 30, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$51.50May 30, 20:38 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?$591.40May 30, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$620.00May 26, 17:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $192.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 16:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 19:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".