Querulous-Mussel
0x4da872daf860378c27eeca13df804982c9be85c0
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.12
Total PnL
$-39.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?
6 shares @ 31.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.12
$-1.88
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $104,000 on September 29?
268 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?
94 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.90
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?
17 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?
16 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
15 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?
14 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?
11 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$9.00Oct 10, 19:50 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$5.25Oct 10, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?$3.35Oct 10, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130k in October?$8.00Oct 3, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declares another national emergency by December 31?$2.50Oct 2, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift pregnant before marriage?$2.00Oct 2, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US military action against Iran before 2026?$2.10Oct 2, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by October 31?$3.00Oct 2, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 15+?$2.00Oct 2, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 10-14?$2.00Oct 2, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 6-9?$3.00Oct 2, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?$3.28Oct 2, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMUS government shutdown by October 1?$3.58Oct 2, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMUS government shutdown in 2025?$16.25Oct 2, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?$2.09Oct 2, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?$1.00Sep 29, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?$3.06Sep 29, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$2.10Sep 29, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?$2.90Sep 29, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$2.40Sep 29, 09:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $3.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 29, 09:33 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 10, 19:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".