Arid-Numeracy
0x4db04faff23119d2d41a269ef9023a016a567f9a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-319.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
3132 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
323 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
AOC pregnant in 2024?
257 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Pump.fun airdrop in Q1 2025?
217 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
154 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Canada" during the State of the Union address?
59 shares @ 84.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$131.58Mar 16, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Canada" during the State of the Union address?$50.00Feb 23, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$100.00Feb 23, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?$195.26Feb 21, 18:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United States win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$71.00Feb 20, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLMen's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. Czechia$34.97Feb 18, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. Czechia$95.38Feb 18, 12:18 UTC
- REDEEMMen's Group C - USA vs. Germany$0.00Feb 18, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$2.43Feb 16, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$10.57Feb 16, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$5.00Feb 16, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$82.00Feb 16, 18:07 UTC
- REDEEMMen's Group C - USA vs. Germany$195.38Feb 16, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Group C - USA vs. Germany$178.17Feb 14, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMMen's Group A - Canada vs. Switzerland$178.16Feb 14, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Group A - Canada vs. Switzerland$162.13Feb 13, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?$175.00Feb 11, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $20.00Dec 23, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$357.13Dec 22, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$321.42Dec 19, 18:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $130.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 1, 10:32 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 11:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".