0x4db6107dc45a27aac92ce48a6d5c5d9fd6037611
0x4db6107dc45a27aac92ce48a6d5c5d9fd6037611
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-84.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 37°F or below on May 14?
1153 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 13?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 1?
11 shares @ 43.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 28?
9 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on May 16?
9 shares @ 31.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.83
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 1?
8 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 17?
8 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on May 16?
8 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 30?
8 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 29?
8 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 2?$2.58May 31, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 1?$2.58May 31, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 1?$2.57May 31, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 1?$2.57May 31, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on June 1?$2.58May 31, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 1?$2.21May 31, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 1?$2.59May 31, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 1?$2.58May 31, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 30?$8.79May 31, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 30?$12.14May 31, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 30?$2.59May 29, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 31?$2.58May 29, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 30?$2.58May 29, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 28?$6.76May 29, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 30?$2.58May 29, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 30?$2.58May 29, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 30?$2.58May 29, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on May 30?$1.78May 29, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 30?$1.60May 29, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 28?$6.94May 29, 10:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
1/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $2.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 14:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 18:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.