Worried-Heart
0x4dc86a7bc978a73156a0e865bac0ba8f4b06041e
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-105.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$979.57Apr 29, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$1.3KApr 29, 03:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$1.3KApr 29, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$1.4KApr 29, 02:19 UTC
- TRADESELLConservatives win majority in Canadian election?$117.00Apr 29, 02:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$1.2KApr 29, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$1.0KApr 29, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$197.70Apr 28, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYConservatives win majority in Canadian election?$100.00Apr 28, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$1.1KApr 28, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYConservatives win majority in Canadian election?$475.76Apr 28, 01:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Government of Canada be a Conservative minority?$475.75Apr 28, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYConservatives win majority in Canadian election?$80.28Apr 27, 04:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Liberal Party win the most seats in Prince Edward Island in the next Canadian Election$80.28Apr 27, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Party win the most seats in Prince Edward Island in the next Canadian Election$81.44Apr 27, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$200.00Apr 26, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the most seats in Prince Edward Island in the next Canadian Election?$105.00Apr 26, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Government of Canada be a Conservative minority?$450.00Apr 26, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYConservatives win majority in Canadian election?$500.00Apr 26, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYConservatives win majority in Canadian election?$348.16Apr 25, 19:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $782.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 09:38 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 04:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.