Third-Sombrero
0x4dc89d2b6be642f950e24cf6305e739c6a27e847
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
87
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$2.24
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
31000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-40.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 16-17°F on January 27?
8550 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-8.55
- NO
Over $20M committed to the Space public sale?
2171 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Zama auction clearing price above $0.40?
2106 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
1910 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-12.79
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or higher on January 25?
1800 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 28-29°F on January 24?
1500 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.50
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
1480 shares @ 20.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-302.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
1400 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 14-15°F on January 25?
1300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Dollar General (DG) beat quarterly earnings?$1.47Jun 2, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dollar General (DG) beat quarterly earnings?$0.53Jun 2, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victoria's Secret (VSCO) beat quarterly earnings?$4.64Jun 2, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victoria's Secret (VSCO) beat quarterly earnings?$1.96Jun 2, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palo Alto Networks (PANW) beat quarterly earnings?$8.77Jun 2, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dollar General (DG) beat quarterly earnings?$2.93Jun 2, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dollar General (DG) beat quarterly earnings?$2.17Jun 2, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?$0.60Mar 7, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?$1.10Mar 7, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?$0.49Mar 7, 14:01 UTC
- REDEEMZama auction clearing price above $0.16?$0.00Mar 5, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$10.00Mar 3, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$20.00Mar 3, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$11.00Mar 3, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on February 7?$0.32Feb 7, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on February 7?$1.57Feb 7, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on February 7?$0.61Feb 6, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on February 7?$0.91Feb 6, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be less than $60 on February 7?$2.90Feb 6, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be less than $60 on February 7?$1.03Feb 6, 20:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $9.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 03:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 10:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".