Noted-Epic
0x4dda46351793d6978151a1d6ee5287036c782edf
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
86
Open notional
$2.35
Total PnL
$-611.90
Realised
$106.34
Win rate
77%
66 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 86- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
2 shares @ 70.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$2.35
$0.70
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
177 shares @ 56.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
44 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-24.96
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
40 shares @ 26.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
40 shares @ 25.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
40 shares @ 47.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-18.83
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
40 shares @ 57.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-22.86
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
40 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-12.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
40 shares @ 43.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-17.44
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
35 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-12.25
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$0.00Jul 28, 18:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$11.22Jul 28, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$0.00Jul 28, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$0.30Jul 28, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$0.00Jul 28, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$0.00Jul 28, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$0.00Jul 28, 17:55 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$15.00Jul 28, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$1.55Jul 28, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$1.70Jul 28, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$1.18Jul 28, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$0.52Jul 28, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$1.85Jul 28, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$1.95Jul 28, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$2.15Jul 28, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$1.85Jul 28, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$1.95Jul 28, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$2.90Jul 28, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$2.95Jul 28, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$2.00Jul 28, 17:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
80/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
77% win rate over 66 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
66 closed markets, 77% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $2.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 17:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 18:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 66 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.