Giddy-Sunbeam
0x4ddcd81e49ef14176675c4f1a4db648dc560066b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
4175 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?
631 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-384.61
- YES
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?
470 shares @ 64.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-304.87
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
456 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-100.23
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?
455 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 26?
423 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-241.34
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
408 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
382 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-24?
371 shares @ 76.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-284.00
- YES
Will the US strike Mexico next?
252 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?$1.3KFeb 18, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?$729.75Feb 18, 16:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?$729.75Feb 18, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?$321.09Feb 17, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$20.53Feb 17, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?$29.30Feb 17, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the March 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.7%?$54.96Feb 17, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the March 2026 unemployment rate be ≤3.9%?$102.17Feb 17, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the February 2026 unemployment rate be ≤4.0%?$114.13Feb 17, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?$134.72Feb 16, 15:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$134.71Feb 16, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the February 2026 unemployment rate be ≤4.0%?$88.84Feb 14, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?$29.61Feb 14, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?$59.23Feb 14, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the February 2026 unemployment rate be ≤4.0%?$26.62Feb 14, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$22.91Feb 14, 18:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?$3.71Feb 14, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the March 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.7%?$61.83Feb 14, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the March 2026 unemployment rate be ≤3.9%?$100.00Feb 14, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$134.70Feb 14, 18:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $90.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 15:39 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 18, 21:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".