Knowledgeable-Behold
0x4de02e9d4a9534ec2ddf5a2b1531c19e5010869f
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$81.51
Total PnL
$-24.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
201 shares @ 25.8¢·now 24.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.31
$-3.69
- NO
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?
29 shares @ 35.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$13.57
$3.57
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$7.97
$2.97
- YES
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$4.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$4.14
$-0.90
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
31 shares @ 3.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.58
$0.58
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- YES
Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 21-23 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.01
$-1.99
- YES
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?
233 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.99
- YES
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $70B and $80B at market close on IPO day?
50 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-8.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?$5.16May 19, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?$10.19May 17, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Levante UD 2 - 1 RCD Mallorca?$3.08May 17, 10:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$46.15May 17, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$3.14May 16, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 21-23 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$1.08May 15, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$0.70May 14, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$0.14May 14, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$4.20May 14, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 21-23 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$0.92May 14, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cerebras' market cap be between $70B and $80B at market close on IPO day?$8.78May 13, 10:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?$9.74May 12, 13:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$0.00May 12, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$1.05May 12, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova win Eurovision 2026?$0.99May 12, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova win Eurovision 2026?$2.10May 12, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.05May 11, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.05May 11, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$1.05May 11, 11:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?$0.16May 11, 09:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $4.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 07:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 10:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".