Nifty-Hobby
0x4de0e3340c8f509ab56f25aedb2d7c1f2a52a830
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-546.09
Realised
$-2.79
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
299 shares @ 87.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-260.71
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?
219 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
182 shares @ 64.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-118.01
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?
76 shares @ 19.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 11AM ET
65 shares @ 61.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-40.36
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
33 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-19.71
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 6PM ET
30 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-14.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
29 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-19.76
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 13, 2PM ET
22 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 7PM ET
13 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-12.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$18.77Feb 12, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$100.79Feb 12, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$119.56Feb 12, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$115.69Feb 12, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$115.69Feb 12, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$110.76Feb 12, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$261.51Feb 12, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$261.52Feb 12, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$250.76Feb 12, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$250.53Feb 12, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$233.43Feb 12, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$233.67Feb 12, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$229.00Feb 12, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$0.01Feb 12, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$226.24Feb 12, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$187.68Feb 12, 20:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$27.25Feb 12, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$163.87Feb 12, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$151.21Feb 12, 20:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$151.34Feb 12, 20:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $94.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 16:05 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 12, 21:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".