Simplistic-Kneejerk
0x4de25d78e8b7f1bbe62cc06fab43876b9cb5b101
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$165.92
Total PnL
$-71.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
166 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$165.92
$2.32
- NORTHERN ILLINOIS HUSKIES
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Northern Illinois Huskies (W)
309 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-12.69
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on February 13?
173 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.01
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 24?
167 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.52
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on December 15?
143 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-18.20
- YES
Will "People We Meet on Vacation" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 20, 2026)
135 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-18.35
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on February 15?
133 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.25
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on February 13?
117 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.57
Recent activity
- REDEEMFairleigh Dickinson Knights vs. Central Connecticut State Blue Devils (W)$121.65Feb 15, 14:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at <$350 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 9 – Feb 13?$207.27Feb 14, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMSouth Carolina Gamecocks vs. Texas A&M Aggies (W)$121.89Feb 13, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on February 15?$6.25Feb 13, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at <$350 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 9 – Feb 13?$199.81Feb 10, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMHawaii Hilo Vulcans vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (W)$136.94Feb 10, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $60 on February 13?$5.01Feb 10, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYFairleigh Dickinson Knights vs. Central Connecticut State Blue Devils (W)$116.30Feb 10, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$140.62Feb 9, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on February 13?$2.57Feb 9, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$63.31Feb 6, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$95.62Feb 4, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Crazy, Stupid, Love" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (February 3)$164.20Feb 4, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSouth Carolina Gamecocks vs. Texas A&M Aggies (W)$117.38Feb 2, 03:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Reza Pahlavi by January 31?$160.51Feb 2, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Crazy, Stupid, Love" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (February 3)$161.24Feb 1, 04:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,600 (LOW) in January?$171.09Feb 1, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$163.60Jan 29, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 28?$131.89Jan 29, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,600 (LOW) in January?$167.67Jan 28, 03:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $95.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 16, 11:17 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 15, 14:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".