Puzzling-Discretion
0x4de2830b9af78696a518a9b3d6192dd2826e1ebf
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$137.01
Total PnL
$-32.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
105 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$105.26
$5.26
- YES
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-31?
32 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$31.75
$11.75
- NOTTINGHAM FOREST
Spread: Bournemouth (-0.5)
35 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- VERONA
Spread: Como (-1.5)
30 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- MANCHESTER CITY
Spread: Manchester City (-0.5)
18 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-31?$20.00Oct 31, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Como (-1.5)$20.00Oct 29, 17:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Napoli win on 2025-10-28?$31.75Oct 29, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Napoli win on 2025-10-28?$20.00Oct 28, 16:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill AS Monaco FC win on 2025-10-25?$40.82Oct 26, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Bournemouth (-0.5)$20.00Oct 26, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Manchester City (-0.5)$10.00Oct 26, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AS Monaco FC win on 2025-10-25?$20.00Oct 25, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$100.00Oct 20, 20:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $30.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 20, 20:00 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 31, 18:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".