Sociable-Chronicle
0x4de3e09e3c97a2bd4f0e114ff7734bc07a1bfb9c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
60
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-220.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- NO
Will the US strike Somalia next?
14000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4PM ET
1186 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
1071 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on February 10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US strike Venezuela next?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on February 10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on February 10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 9, 4PM ET
852 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will the US strike Cuba next?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
427 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$1.53Mar 1, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$1.55Mar 1, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$1.25Mar 1, 00:20 UTC
- TRADESELL50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by March 31?$1.25Feb 15, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 11, 4PM ET$11.17Feb 11, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$1.00Feb 11, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$1.00Feb 11, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - February 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$0.15Feb 11, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$1.70Feb 11, 21:24 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - February 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$15.26Feb 11, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$10.71Feb 11, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$5.00Feb 11, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$5.00Feb 11, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$1.00Feb 11, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$4.00Feb 11, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$1.87Feb 10, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - February 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$5.53Feb 10, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - February 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$6.05Feb 10, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$1.00Feb 10, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - February 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$1.00Feb 10, 18:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $3.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 22:23 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 00:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".