Famous-Guilty
0x4de5fa6ffd20de4c8cdee84deea8e3e5fd39ed0c
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$81.43
Total PnL
$-14.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- BRONCOS
Bills vs. Broncos
60 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$60.00
$28.20
- NO
Will Trump say "Switzerland" this week? (January 18)
21 shares @ 46.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$21.43
$11.43
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
153 shares @ 20.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-31.00
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
100 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.20
- YES
Grok 4.20 released by January 31?
37 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?$3.20Feb 1, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?$90.00Jan 16, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 4.20 released by January 31?$20.00Jan 14, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Switzerland" this week? (January 18)$10.00Jan 14, 23:24 UTC
- TRADESELLKnicks vs. Kings$16.00Jan 14, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBills vs. Broncos$31.80Jan 14, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Kings$16.20Jan 14, 23:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?$0.53Jan 13, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?$1.00Jan 13, 06:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?$0.16Jan 13, 03:24 UTC
- TRADESELLChargers vs. Patriots$18.57Jan 12, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYChargers vs. Patriots$50.00Jan 12, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?$66.60Jan 12, 02:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$3.78Jan 12, 01:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$4.32Jan 12, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$21.00Jan 12, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$10.00Jan 11, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?$30.00Jan 11, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$10.00Jan 11, 20:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $17.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 20:33 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 1, 22:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.