Popular-Mangle
0x4dec4f336a57e58f3acccd30c1efb65add1b50cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.9K
Realised
$-398.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during September press conference?
25439 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-749.45
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $108,000 September 29-October 5?
9390 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-775.97
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $106,000 September 29-October 5?
7800 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-547.98
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $104,000 September 29-October 5?
2759 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
2334 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-230.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
1627 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on September 19?
918 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2025$0.00
$-101.00
- YES
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
455 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $116K in September?
400 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-112.00
- YES
Will Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
241 shares @ 82.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $108,000 September 29-October 5?$20.00Oct 1, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $108,000 September 29-October 5?$100.00Oct 1, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $108,000 September 29-October 5?$200.00Oct 1, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $108,000 September 29-October 5?$100.00Oct 1, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $106,000 September 29-October 5?$100.00Oct 1, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $104,000 September 29-October 5?$60.00Oct 1, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $116,000 on September 30?$2.0KOct 1, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $108,000 September 29-October 5?$16.00Sep 30, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $106,000 September 29-October 5?$40.00Sep 30, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $104,000 September 29-October 5?$20.00Sep 30, 19:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on September 30?$0.00Sep 30, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $116,000 on September 29?$0.00Sep 30, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $106,000 and $108,000 on September 29?$0.00Sep 30, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $116,000 on September 30?$1.9KSep 30, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on September 30?$100.00Sep 30, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $106,000 September 29-October 5?$12.00Sep 30, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $106,000 September 29-October 5?$12.00Sep 29, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $106,000 September 29-October 5?$84.00Sep 29, 21:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on September 29?$242.11Sep 29, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $108,000 September 29-October 5?$296.18Sep 29, 19:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $163.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 26, 10:51 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 1, 11:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".