Querulous-Defense
0x4dec9581a5fd51330ce027ea9098d71ca78cd98e
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$19.47
Total PnL
$-3.51
Realised
$-0.28
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Bank of England rate cut in 2025?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.49
$0.49
- NO
Will Alberto Undurraga win the Chilean presidential election?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$4.37
$0.00
- NO
Will Marco Enríquez-Ominami win the Chilean presidential election?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$3.33
$0.00
- NO
Nord Stream pipeline turned on in 2025?
3 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025?
2 shares @ 96.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$2.07
$0.07
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.16
$0.16
- YES
Will Harold Mayne-Nicholls win the Chilean presidential election?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Alberto Undurraga win the Chilean presidential election?$269.73Nov 16, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYNord Stream pipeline turned on in 2025?$3.00Nov 14, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England rate cut in 2025?$5.00Nov 14, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alberto Undurraga win the Chilean presidential election?$274.10Nov 14, 02:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Enríquez-Ominami win the Chilean presidential election?$280.79Nov 14, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Enríquez-Ominami win the Chilean presidential election?$284.40Nov 14, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harold Mayne-Nicholls win the Chilean presidential election?$3.00Nov 14, 02:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Putin by October 31?$1.22Nov 14, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Democratic candidate win the NYC mayoral election?$2.21Nov 14, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin by October 31?$1.00Oct 4, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$1.00Oct 4, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?$1.00Oct 4, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Adams be removed as NYC mayor?$1.02Oct 4, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Adams finish his term as NYC mayor?$2.04Oct 4, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMAndrew Cuomo charged before September?$1.05Oct 4, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Adams finish his term as NYC mayor?$2.00Jun 8, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndrew Cuomo charged before September?$1.00Jun 8, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win the NYC mayoral election?$2.00Jun 8, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Adams be removed as NYC mayor?$1.00Jun 8, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump eliminate daylight saving time in first 100 days?$1.04Jun 8, 07:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $30.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 13:04 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 16, 07:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.