Similar-Physical
0x4df2237e6bf3d4a2d51c82dcb52a1e79afa9ccf3
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$83.44
Total PnL
$23.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
29 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$29.41
$14.41
- NO
Iran strike on US military by January 31?
22 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$22.39
$7.39
- NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
21 shares @ 95.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$20.89
$0.89
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$10.75
$0.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?$20.00Jan 20, 17:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Mexico by December 31?$26.19Jan 20, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran strike on US military by January 31?$15.00Jan 13, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$15.00Jan 13, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?$10.00Jan 9, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by December 31?$20.00Jan 9, 04:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $17.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 04:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 20, 17:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.