Distinct-Duration
0x4df23b55af9c80426bf5029d4b60df1b36ba5efb
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$209.00
Total PnL
$-86.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Nicolai Hojgaard win the 2026 Masters tournament?
120 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$120.00
$1.32
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
89 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$89.00
$0.36
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
191 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.02
- NO
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
170 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.72
- YES
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?
151 shares @ 27.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-41.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or higher on November 26?
150 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of March?
140 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.32
- YES
Will Tyrrell Hatton win The 2025 U.S. Open?
100 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?
91 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
90 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.26
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$88.92Apr 27, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$89.10Apr 25, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?$41.10Apr 12, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolai Hojgaard win the 2026 Masters tournament?$118.68Apr 7, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$88.64Apr 2, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$1.20Mar 30, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP reach $1.80 in March?$139.58Mar 30, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.80 in March?$139.86Mar 30, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?$11.02Mar 28, 18:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?$99.80Mar 28, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?$99.90Mar 28, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of March?$5.32Mar 25, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Death Stranding 2: On The Beach win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$190.10Mar 19, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$10.26Jan 6, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$2.72Dec 18, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $200 December 15-21?$139.72Dec 18, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $200 December 15-21?$139.86Dec 18, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Death Stranding 2: On The Beach win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$187.34Dec 8, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or higher on November 26?$2.40Nov 26, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$89.73Nov 26, 08:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $65.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 14:59 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.