0x4df7a285f96e500be90d72e5ec11aeab576bc1bd
0x4df7a285f96e500be90d72e5ec11aeab576bc1bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$159.00
Total PnL
$-43.64
Realised
$20.18
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
196 shares @ 18.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$85.21
$49.95
- NO
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?
149 shares @ 8.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$18.68
$6.73
- YES
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
14 shares @ 91.5¢·now 93.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$12.60
$0.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
10 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$10.00
$6.00
- YES
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
7 shares @ 84.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$7.00
$1.11
- YES
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?
7 shares @ 94.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.31
$-0.47
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
5 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$5.37
$2.58
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
197 shares @ 15.3¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.43
$-25.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
4 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$3.96
$1.19
- YES
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
141 shares @ 9.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.58
$-9.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?$5.41Apr 19, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?$0.48Apr 18, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?$2.16Apr 17, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?$3.73Apr 16, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?$0.17Apr 14, 22:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.72Apr 11, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?$12.70Apr 10, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.43Apr 10, 12:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.80Apr 10, 12:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.80Apr 10, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.16Apr 10, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$12.70Apr 9, 14:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.90Apr 9, 12:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$2.65Apr 9, 12:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$2.95Apr 9, 12:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$3.01Apr 9, 12:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$2.00Apr 9, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?$0.45Apr 9, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?$1.05Apr 9, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?$3.63Apr 9, 09:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $6.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 08:45 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 19, 07:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.