Plaintive-Garbage
0x4df7da721042bf8b75bd1cb7acbeb7f83aaf522d
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-23.9K
Realised
$8.7K
Win rate
100%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- PHILLIES
Phillies vs. Nationals
26315 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2025$0.00
$-16.3K
- CARDINALS
Rockies vs. Cardinals
21884 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2025$0.00
$-14.4K
- YES
Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?
18785 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-22.03
- YES
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?
18735 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-22.13
- YES
Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?
18381 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-22.72
- YES
Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?
18377 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-22.60
- YES
Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?
18302 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-22.69
- YES
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?
18292 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-22.90
- YES
Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?
18267 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-22.96
- YES
Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?
18202 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-22.81
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.21Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 10, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 9, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 8, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 4, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 3, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 2, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 1, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 28 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
28 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 00:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.