Shocking-Reach
0x4dfa0001d58dd83558d6cb1c963611ab3faddbb3
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$100.07
Total PnL
$-692.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
111 shares @ 36.1¢·now 62.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$69.51
$29.51
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
228 shares @ 12.8¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.66
$-7.58
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
41 shares @ 48.1¢·now 19.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$8.03
$-11.77
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
5 shares @ 31.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.88
$-0.67
- NO
Will Russia enter Huliaipole by December 15?
9276 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-417.65
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?
410 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-143.39
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?
271 shares @ 39.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-107.10
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?
100 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-33.00
- NO
Hong Kong Election: Geographical Constituency Seat Turnover >40%?
20 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?$10.00May 23, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?$5.00May 22, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?$4.80May 22, 13:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$33.26May 5, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$8.00Apr 13, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$20.00Apr 2, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$20.00Apr 2, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$20.00Apr 2, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?$100.00Apr 2, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$10.00Mar 10, 09:58 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$21.84Mar 1, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$19.92Feb 28, 07:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?$19.92Feb 28, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$1.24Feb 28, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$10.00Feb 24, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?$3.10Feb 10, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?$10.00Feb 10, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?$9.33Feb 10, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?$10.00Feb 10, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?$11.00Feb 8, 09:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $13.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 1, 20:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 03:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.