Daring-Loan
0x4dfaa434c079f6b2754483dac279d6a03287b205
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
93
Open notional
$164.35
Total PnL
$-348.62
Realised
$182.64
Win rate
84%
45 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 93- NO
Hyperbeat FDV above $25M one day after launch?
40 shares @ 45.1¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$25.60
$7.56
- YES
Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in June?
37 shares @ 75.8¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$25.26
$-2.50
- YES
Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?
40 shares @ 49.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$18.60
$-1.00
- NO
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2027?
30 shares @ 69.3¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$10.44
$-10.55
- YES
Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in June?
290 shares @ 9.3¢·now 3.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.99
$-18.11
- YES
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5900 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.85
$-11.31
- YES
Will Markéta Vondroušová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
664 shares @ 0.4¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$8.64
$5.98
- YES
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5100 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.65
$-7.65
- NO
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?
20 shares @ 72.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.60
$-6.80
- YES
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.50
$-2.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$2.71Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?$11.15Jun 13, 09:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$2.03Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in June?$11.02Jun 12, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Mark Carney in June?$3.86Jun 12, 11:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.25Jun 12, 04:02 UTC
- TRADESELLOstium FDV above $100M one day after launch?$18.80Jun 12, 01:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.80Jun 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in June?$17.95Jun 11, 17:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$2.05Jun 11, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$1.78Jun 10, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Mark Carney in June?$0.50Jun 9, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Mark Carney in June?$0.25Jun 9, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Mark Carney in June?$0.25Jun 9, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?$21.14Jun 9, 00:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $6.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 45 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.