Lavish-Island
0x4dfc0c03b0a2a491ed7a3d631d2f354e82f6014c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-26.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump say "Hell" 5 or more times at CPAC conference on Saturday?
840 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2025$0.00
$-11.07
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model on February 28?
636 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?
62 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 650-699 times Feb 21-28?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLTel Aviv bus bomber arrested by Friday?$18.85Mar 6, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 25-Mar 3?$9.62Feb 27, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?$4.12Feb 27, 17:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kanye tweet again by Friday?$35.15Feb 27, 17:36 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother commercial airline evacuation before March?$60.05Feb 27, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye tweet again by Friday?$10.00Feb 26, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother commercial airline evacuation before March?$74.53Feb 26, 21:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Zelenskyy by Friday?$239.09Feb 26, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Zelenskyy by Friday?$0.52Feb 26, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Zelenskyy by Friday?$267.42Feb 26, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother commercial airline evacuation before March?$5.00Feb 26, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Zelenskyy by Friday?$5.00Feb 26, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?$5.00Feb 26, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on February 28?$5.00Feb 26, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kanye tweet 100-199 times February 20-28?$211.47Feb 26, 15:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by February 28, 2025?$7.22Feb 26, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 25-Mar 3?$10.00Feb 26, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by February 28, 2025?$5.00Feb 26, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kanye launch a coin in February?$83.72Feb 26, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye launch a coin in February?$49.92Feb 25, 23:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $46.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 21, 21:39 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 6, 14:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".