Amazing-Contingency
0x4e04707a0f3c49a6f35d203461a8055924442b6e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-107.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 0%-0.5%?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
832 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Trump win 5 swing states?
366 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election?
350 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-7.99
- YES
Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?
335 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-7.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?
270 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will someone else be inaugurated?
263 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump win no swing states?
211 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump win 2 swing states?$0.00Nov 8, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency?$0.00Nov 8, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?$0.00Nov 8, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump win 4 swing states?$0.00Nov 8, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump win 1 swing state?$0.00Nov 8, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 8, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 8, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency? $0.00Nov 8, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 8, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?$0.00Nov 8, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election?$2.99Nov 6, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 2 swing states?$1.00Nov 6, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 4 swing states?$1.00Nov 6, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 4 swing states?$1.00Nov 6, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 3 swing states?$1.00Nov 6, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 2 swing states?$1.00Nov 6, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 1 swing state?$1.00Nov 6, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win no swing states?$1.00Nov 6, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 5 swing states?$5.00Nov 6, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" in his speech after the election is called?$5.00Nov 6, 07:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $2.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 6, 07:09 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 8, 04:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".