Orderly-Recording
0x4e084eda70a2c72d579c6f41d94e0b7d313f9967
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$2.21
Total PnL
$-0.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 1?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$1.11
$0.01
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
1 shares @ 91.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.10
$0.09
- YES
Will “The Witcher: Season 4” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 4 2025)
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 1?$1.10Feb 28, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$0.94Feb 28, 23:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yoon be sentenced to prison before 2027?$1.06Feb 28, 23:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?$1.07Feb 28, 23:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$1.10Feb 28, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$1.01Feb 28, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?$1.02Jan 28, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$1.01Jan 28, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yoon be sentenced to prison before 2027?$1.03Dec 31, 10:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bryan Johnson say "Mushroom" 10+ times while tripping balls?$1.09Dec 31, 10:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$1.14Dec 31, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$1.02Dec 31, 10:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.15Nov 30, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$1.10Nov 30, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bryan Johnson say "Mushroom" 10+ times while tripping balls?$1.00Nov 30, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill “The Witcher: Season 4” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 4 2025)$1.03Oct 31, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.10Oct 31, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 12, 1PM ET$1.10Sep 30, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $108,000 on July 14?$1.11Sep 30, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMAny Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?$1.15Sep 30, 13:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $333.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 30, 03:18 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 23:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.