Distorted-Thinking
0x4e0a16f2d94f3edd2a4e111910cab2ae685df945
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-181.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on November 22?
625 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
185 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 20?
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- VIKINGS
Vikings vs. Steelers
19 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down on November 5?
16 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-10.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 20?$10.00Feb 20, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$50.00Feb 13, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on January 4?$51.14Jan 7, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 4?$45.00Jan 4, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on November 25?$0.00Nov 26, 01:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on November 25?$263.95Nov 26, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on November 25?$100.00Nov 25, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on November 22?$100.00Nov 22, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on November 5?$10.55Nov 5, 02:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Oct 19, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$481.06Oct 18, 01:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$4.26Oct 18, 01:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Oct 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$481.55Oct 17, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$4.73Oct 17, 02:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?$482.51Oct 17, 02:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?$2.91Oct 17, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?$3.40Oct 16, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?$483.00Oct 16, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMArkansas State vs. South Alabama$25.83Oct 16, 03:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $148.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 07:32 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 20, 12:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.