0x4e0a3520d82b3caac7319be87a95ae6def17b34e
0x4e0a3520d82b3caac7319be87a95ae6def17b34e
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$22.39
Total PnL
$-234.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
1 Trump vs. Harris debate before election?
17 shares @ 23.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$17.39
$13.39
- YES
Kemi Badenoch next Conservative party leader?
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$5.00
$3.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
356 shares @ 44.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-159.90
- YES
Will Nate Silver correctly call the Presidential Election?
50 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-32.00
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
29 shares @ 69.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Trump wins every swing state?
15 shares @ 84.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
2 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?
15 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Kim Dotcom extradited in 2024?
13 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Biden finish his term?
10 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will 538 correctly call the Presidential Election?
5 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-3.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$20.00Nov 2, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$100.00Nov 2, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu out by October 31?$120.22Nov 2, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel invade Lebanon in September?$0.00Oct 17, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel invade Lebanon in September?$1.00Oct 5, 18:42 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine strike on Moscow by September 30?$0.00Oct 5, 18:41 UTC
- REDEEMBelarus x Ukraine military clash by Sep 30?$0.00Oct 5, 18:41 UTC
- REDEEMDid Biden campaign use info from Iran hack?$0.00Oct 5, 18:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belarus invade Ukraine before October?$0.00Oct 5, 18:41 UTC
- REDEEMKeir Starmer out as UK PM before October?$1.03Oct 5, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "skibidi" before the election?$0.14Sep 23, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYDid Biden campaign use info from Iran hack?$1.00Sep 23, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMGabriel Attal next Prime Minister of France?$0.00Sep 13, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine strike on Moscow by September 30?$3.00Sep 6, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill France recognize Palestine before September?$0.00Sep 3, 15:56 UTC
- REDEEMTrump flips Kamala on Nate Silver's Bulletin?$0.00Sep 3, 15:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine hold Kursk through Aug 31?$0.00Sep 3, 15:56 UTC
- REDEEMBen Gvir out as Israel Minister of National Security by August 31? $0.00Sep 3, 15:56 UTC
- REDEEMLucie Castets appointed as French PM by August 31?$0.00Sep 3, 15:56 UTC
- REDEEMGrok bans image generation of Trump in August?$0.00Sep 3, 15:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $16.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 15, 23:17 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 2, 11:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".