Polite-Treaty
0x4e0d234ccbc743cb1aae52017c6f4a7b3efeb8f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?
3132 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-439.95
- GURULE
Osbourne vs. Gurule
817 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2025$0.00
$-580.00
- YES
Will Houston win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
667 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- CHARGERS
Chargers vs. Giants
548 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-400.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?$220.01Oct 20, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?$219.94Oct 20, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYChargers vs. Giants$400.05Sep 26, 04:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tennessee win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?$0.00Apr 4, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYOsbourne vs. Gurule$580.00Apr 4, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMKentucky vs. Tennessee$0.00Mar 29, 05:22 UTC
- REDEEMKentucky vs. Tennessee$277.09Mar 29, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMBYU vs. Alabama$302.99Mar 28, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$0.00Mar 26, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tennessee win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?$19.23Mar 26, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Houston win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?$100.00Mar 26, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYKentucky vs. Tennessee$77.44Mar 26, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBYU vs. Alabama$203.00Mar 26, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYKentucky vs. Tennessee$99.90Mar 26, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$861.15Aug 2, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$228.10Aug 2, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Biden finish his term?$222.20Aug 2, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$4.00Jul 22, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$420.00Jul 22, 19:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $261.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 19:54 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 20, 06:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".