Attached-Dam
0x4e0e4805232e3efd1c04595821c3125c52fe5b0c
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$25.75
Total PnL
$6.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?
147 shares @ 13.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$25.75
$6.62
- YES
Will Raul Perestrello win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
1010 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Manuela Magno win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
1010 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?
1010 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?
1010 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
1010 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will António Filipe win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
1010 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Ângela Maryah win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
1010 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?
505 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBase FDV above $12B one day after launch?$9.12Jul 17, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBase FDV above $12B one day after launch?$10.01Jul 17, 22:11 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?$19.50Jul 9, 14:29 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.04May 27, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?$19.46May 24, 05:17 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$19.45May 23, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 4, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?$0.21Jan 3, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?$0.51Jan 3, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$0.51Jan 3, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$29.35Jan 3, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$45.78Jan 3, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?$8.08Jan 3, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMBattle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgios$12.94Jan 3, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMJaguars vs. Colts$16.18Jan 3, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMEagles vs. Bills$25.58Jan 3, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMTrump confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?$49.49Jan 3, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 3, 00:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 2, 00:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 1, 00:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $19.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 19:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 22:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.