0x4e0eb08d4fbfae8a8d895bab5c42f3daccdf47c8
0x4e0eb08d4fbfae8a8d895bab5c42f3daccdf47c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Joe Biden say "Inflation" during his May 8 interview?
1100 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2025$0.00
$-451.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on March 23?
705 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2025$0.00
$-70.50
- NO
Pakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?
485 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2025$0.00
$-324.95
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in March?
410 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2025$0.00
$-139.40
- NO
Will Michael Saylor say "Interest Rate" during the Q1 2025 Strategy earnings call?
185 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2025$0.00
$-127.65
- NO
Will Villarreal beat Espanyol?
70 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2025$0.00
$-22.40
- NO
Will Everton vs. Arsenal end in a draw?
60 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2025$0.00
$-42.60
- YES
Will Tottenham vs. Southampton end in a draw?
10 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 55-56°F on March 25?
5 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.90
- YES
Will Michael Saylor say "Tariff" 3+ times during the Q1 2025 Strategy earnings call?
5 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in March?$139.40May 12, 04:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dortmund beat Leverkusen?$140.00May 11, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dortmund beat Leverkusen?$54.60May 11, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Werder Bremen beat RB Leipzig?$55.00May 10, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Werder Bremen beat RB Leipzig?$2.95May 10, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Werder Bremen beat RB Leipzig?$20.65May 10, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Werder Bremen beat RB Leipzig?$2.95May 10, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Werder Bremen beat RB Leipzig?$2.95May 10, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Werder Bremen beat RB Leipzig?$2.95May 10, 05:20 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down on May 10?$31.20May 9, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on May 10?$2.60May 9, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on May 10?$28.60May 9, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYPakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?$3.35May 9, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYPakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?$318.25May 9, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYPakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?$3.35May 9, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jerome Powell say "inflation" 60 or more times during the May meeting?$355.00May 9, 05:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Joe Biden say "Social Security" during his May 8 interview?$2.20May 7, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Biden say "Social Security" during his May 8 interview?$1.90May 7, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell say "inflation" 60 or more times during the May meeting?$188.15May 7, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Biden say "Inflation" during his May 8 interview?$16.40May 7, 07:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $51.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 04:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 04:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.