Austere-Jug
0x4e0f22247be665abd7f678f862eb545d79923c80
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$1.05
Total PnL
$-401.01
Realised
$-39.92
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
China x India military clash by December 31?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Cuomo endorse Eric Adams?
17850 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-34.65
- NO
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?
775 shares @ 26.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-202.00
- YES
Will any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3?
596 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on December 9?
110 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on December 17?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on December 14?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on December 9?
44 shares @ 45.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on December 18?
39 shares @ 62.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-24.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on December 17?
22 shares @ 69.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?$7.00Dec 27, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYFogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?$7.00Dec 27, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYFogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?$7.00Dec 27, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYFogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?$6.00Dec 27, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYFogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?$7.00Dec 26, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYFogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?$5.00Dec 26, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYFogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?$4.00Dec 26, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYFogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?$6.00Dec 26, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYFogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?$8.00Dec 26, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?$5.00Dec 26, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYFogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?$8.00Dec 26, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYFogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?$7.00Dec 26, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYFogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?$5.00Dec 26, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYFogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?$11.00Dec 26, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYFogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?$12.00Dec 26, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYFogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?$11.00Dec 26, 17:37 UTC
- TRADESELLFogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?$10.14Dec 26, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYFogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?$13.00Dec 26, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?$11.00Dec 26, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYFogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?$11.00Dec 26, 08:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $9.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 18, 02:07 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 27, 10:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".