Informal-Crowd
0x4e1248be09b1af11927137bbd71782520089354c
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$30.51
Total PnL
$-412.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on June 14?
119 shares @ 5.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$8.96
$2.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 14?
35 shares @ 11.7¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$8.14
$4.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 14?
33 shares @ 9.1¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$5.95
$2.95
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 14?
20 shares @ 13.2¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$4.05
$1.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 14?
14 shares @ 21.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$2.64
$-0.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 14?
33 shares @ 9.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.68
$-2.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?
43 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.04
$-2.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 14?
35 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.02
$-5.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 14?
28 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.01
$-2.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 14?
27 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.01
$-2.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 14?$1.57Jun 14, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 14?$1.84Jun 14, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 14?$3.00Jun 14, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on June 14?$2.98Jun 14, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on June 14?$2.98Jun 14, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 13?$10.00Jun 14, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 14?$0.45Jun 14, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 14?$0.32Jun 14, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 14?$2.35Jun 14, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 14?$0.64Jun 14, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 14?$3.00Jun 14, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 14?$0.13Jun 14, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 14?$0.90Jun 14, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on June 14?$0.02Jun 14, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 14?$1.68Jun 14, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 14?$0.30Jun 14, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 14?$0.50Jun 14, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 14?$0.81Jun 14, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on June 14?$2.20Jun 14, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on June 14?$0.23Jun 14, 01:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 23:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 05:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.