Outrageous-Alfalfa
0x4e145fc2d60055a78bbbf2a5c66216bbc7e6a111
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$27.78
Total PnL
$-150.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US government shutdown in 2025?
28 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$27.78
$17.78
- YES
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?
319 shares @ 27.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-88.00
- YES
Thailand strikes Cambodia by August 31?
129 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Ukraine election called in 2025?
57 shares @ 17.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will MrBeast say "Million" or "Billion" 20+ times during his next video?
45 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?
29 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?
26 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?$88.00Aug 19, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $110k or $120k first?$22.73Aug 11, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYThailand strikes Cambodia by August 31?$10.00Aug 8, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYEarthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?$10.00Aug 8, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSouth Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31?$10.00Aug 8, 09:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kanye launch a coin in 2025?$3.84Aug 6, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?$5.08Aug 6, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast say "Feastables" 3+ times during his next video?$5.19Aug 6, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLTaylor Swift pregnant in 2025?$7.04Aug 6, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaquake by August 31?$8.57Aug 6, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down on August 7?$9.21Aug 6, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by 2025?$9.23Aug 6, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025? $9.28Aug 6, 18:39 UTC
- TRADESELLZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$9.36Aug 6, 18:39 UTC
- TRADESELLCap on gambling loss deductions repealed in 2025?$9.49Aug 6, 18:39 UTC
- TRADESELLTikTok sale announced in 2025?$9.50Aug 6, 18:39 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$9.63Aug 6, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok sale announced in 2025?$10.00Aug 6, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$10.00Aug 6, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on August 7?$10.00Aug 6, 13:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $11.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 6, 13:36 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 09:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".