Hard-Demand
0x4e15232530e1124bf7e3a17b41b617338f4e17b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$-226.35
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
17088 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?
11782 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-525.40
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?
2572 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-478.73
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?$418.73Dec 8, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?$60.00Dec 8, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?$100.00Dec 8, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?$11.08Dec 4, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?$68.34Dec 4, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?$346.00Dec 2, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$336.14Jun 28, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$280.00Jun 27, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$520.28Jun 26, 15:42 UTC
- TRADESELLFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$520.28Jun 26, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$746.63Jun 26, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEM2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154$0.00Nov 10, 15:11 UTC
- REDEEM2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214$0.00Nov 10, 15:11 UTC
- REDEEM2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64$0.00Nov 10, 15:11 UTC
- REDEEM2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34$0.00Nov 10, 15:11 UTC
- REDEEM2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104$955.08Nov 10, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214$13.47Oct 25, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154$10.00Oct 25, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154$55.00Oct 25, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104$170.00Oct 25, 15:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $113.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 11, 16:06 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 8, 21:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.