Squiggly-Horse
0x4e20935cc251e9868c5d2da21401126040668255
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$19.32
Total PnL
$-1.12
Realised
$-1.27
Win rate
25%
8 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$10.39
$0.14
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.50
$0.00
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.38
$0.00
- NO
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.33
$0.00
- NO
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.32
$0.01
- NO
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.27
$0.00
- NO
Will Marseille win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.12
$0.00
- NO
Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.01
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$210.30Jan 25, 10:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marseille win the 2025–26 Champions League?$278.60Jan 25, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$219.50Jan 24, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marseille win the 2025–26 Champions League?$280.00Jan 24, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?$499.48Jan 24, 07:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 24, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?$500.79Jan 23, 05:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$289.71Jan 23, 05:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$210.57Jan 23, 05:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jan 23, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$211.00Jan 22, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$290.00Jan 22, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$501.49Jan 22, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$503.00Jan 22, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$502.99Jan 22, 03:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 22, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$504.99Jan 21, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?$504.99Jan 21, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?$506.30Jan 21, 02:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$504.93Jan 21, 02:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $297.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 22, 04:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 25, 10:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.