Boring-Excitement
0x4e20952835fd9b3d3203022d02e8e952412e04e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
183030 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.4K
- NO
Fanduel launches prediction markets with CME by end of 2025?
1302 shares @ 34.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-453.25
- NO
CME list sports event contracts by December 31?
155 shares @ 42.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-66.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$0.00Dec 4, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel not raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 10 ET?$0.00Dec 4, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 3?$0.00Dec 4, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?$0.00Dec 4, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMTrump strikes another drug boat by Oct 15?$0.00Dec 4, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?$0.00Dec 4, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMOpenAI browser by October 31?$0.00Dec 4, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMMonad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$0.00Dec 4, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$112.45Dec 4, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?$84.66Dec 4, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?$27.80Dec 4, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$249.62Dec 4, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$249.62Dec 4, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$485.04Dec 4, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$254.37Dec 4, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?$152.16Dec 4, 06:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?$78.51Dec 4, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$536.34Dec 4, 06:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? $536.33Dec 4, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$466.62Dec 4, 06:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $238.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 26, 08:39 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 4, 11:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.