Impartial-Frontier
0x4e29ac8f54e3f4ff52ddc0db0b75a7e4034ecfd1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$-356.93
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
2600 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
477 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
456 shares @ 65.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
383 shares @ 65.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
273 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3PM ET
262 shares @ 78.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-206.40
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - November 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
254 shares @ 83.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-212.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
242 shares @ 63.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-153.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5PM ET
176 shares @ 43.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-77.06
- YES
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during C5+1 Summit on November 6?
162 shares @ 61.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - November 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$212.00Nov 14, 04:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald or Melania Trump say "Welfare" during executive order signing events on November 13?$158.93Nov 13, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald or Melania Trump say "Homeless" during executive order signing events on November 13?$90.26Nov 13, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald or Melania Trump say "Homeless" during executive order signing events on November 13?$43.00Nov 13, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald or Melania Trump say "Welfare" during executive order signing events on November 13?$70.00Nov 13, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$300.00Nov 13, 04:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$269.87Nov 13, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$200.00Nov 13, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$342.58Nov 13, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$280.00Nov 13, 03:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$45.51Nov 13, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$129.00Nov 13, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$30.00Nov 13, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - November 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$94.75Nov 13, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - November 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$61.00Nov 13, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - November 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$76.00Nov 13, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$35.00Nov 13, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$10.00Nov 13, 02:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$181.16Nov 13, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$120.00Nov 13, 02:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $91.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 12, 15:26 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 14, 04:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.