Tender-Change
0x4e368c61e10cf197c0e8152430bd90caeb0714e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$235.40
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 4?
3740 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-56.10
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 8?
3316 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-56.36
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
3260 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-100.77
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
2110 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-179.44
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
1900 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-89.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
1800 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-109.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
1500 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 2?
1300 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-54.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
1150 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-47.93
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 4?
1120 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-56.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$12.60Jan 3, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$0.22Jan 3, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$1.29Jan 3, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$5.48Jan 3, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$1.01Jan 3, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$6.00Jan 3, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$0.00Jan 3, 01:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$0.00Jan 3, 01:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$0.00Jan 3, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$10.00Jan 3, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$4.60Jan 3, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$3.30Jan 3, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$1.11Jan 3, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$1.10Jan 3, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$0.49Jan 3, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$0.04Jan 3, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$5.96Jan 3, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$0.30Jan 3, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$4.20Jan 3, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$0.80Jan 3, 00:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 30, 21:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 3, 20:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".