Nimble-Beastie
0x4e38db076386748659d08a4c9f84ab907e0c6767
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$6.35
Total PnL
$-5.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on May 3?
450 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 3, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on May 3?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp May 3, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 54°F or higher on May 3?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.88
$-0.13
- YES
Will Gary Goodweather win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?
18 shares @ 5.5¢·now 4.2¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.76
$-0.24
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 52°F or higher on May 3?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.64
$-0.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
4 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 1?$1.051h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 1?$1.052h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$0.002h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on May 3?$1.052h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Gary Goodweather win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?$1.042h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 52°F or higher on May 3?$1.053h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 54°F or higher on May 3?$1.053h ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$2.443h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$3.083h ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$0.523h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$1.053h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$2.063h ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$0.543h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$1.053h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$2.093h ago
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$0.004h ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$1.154h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$2.084h ago
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$2.224h ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$1.044h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 5h ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".